DON'T MAKE MAUK WIN IT: I think the biggest key to Missouri's success so far is that they've been a little less reliant on the quarterback than in the past. That's not to say James Franklin hasn't played well, because he has. But the Tigers are getting contributions from all over. In years past, if the quarterback wasn't great, Missouri didn't beat good teams. I don't think that's the case anymore. Maty Mauk doesn't have to be the hero, but he can't be the goat (that's goat, not G.O.A.T.). Take the pressure off the kid and rely on your more experienced players for a W.
MAKE FLORIDA THROW IT: The Gators aren't going to put up a lot of points and they don't have a dynamic offense. If you make it one-dimensional, they'll struggle even more. I'd load the box, shut down the Florida run game and let the defensive line pin their ears back and get after Tyler Murphy. If Missouri can get pressure with four, Florida won't score much and the Tigers can force Murphy into a couple of mistakes.
ONE BIG PLAY PER HALF: Three touchdowns will win this game. Of course, Florida hasn't given up three touchdowns in an SEC game since a 26-21 win at Vanderbilt on November 5, 2011. The Gator defense is very, very good and long drives don't happen much. If Missouri can get one big play per half, I think the Tigers score enough to win.
PREDICTION TIME: These are two teams headed in opposite directions to some extent. Missouri is riding high after a win at Georgia to finish the season's first half perfect. Florida got pushed around at LSU last week and Gator fans seem to be less than sold on Muschamp's grind-it-out, win-on-defense approach. I think Mauk is solid, but not spectacular in his first start and the Tiger defense gets the job done here, setting up a huge game against South Carolina that will determine the second-half path to the SEC East title. Missouri 24, Florida 13