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Tiger Tipoff Preview: Xavier

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Prior to each of the major non-conference games and every SEC game for the Tigers, we will post the Tiger Tipoff Preview to get you set for the matchup. Here is our preview of tonight's game at Xavier.

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                                         TIP TIME INFORMATION

Missouri (2-0) vs Xavier (2-0)

WHEN: 6:00 p.m. Central

WHERE: Cintas Center (10,250) Cincinnati, OH

TV: CBS Sports Network (Ben Holden, Steve Wolf)

RADIO: Tiger Radio Network (Mike Kelly, Chris Gervino)

SERIES: Xavier leads 5-3 (Mizzou won 71-56 in 2018)

KenPom Prediction: Xavier 70-65

                                       THE STARTING LINEUPS

Xavier Probable Starters
Player Class Height PPG RPG APG

Paul Scruggs

JR

6-4

12.0

3.0

2.0

Quentin Goodin

SR

6-4

6.0

1.5

2.0

Leighton Scrhand

SR

6-2

1.0

1.5

0.5

Naji Marshall

JR

6-7

18.5

7.0

5.5

Tyrique Jones

SR

6-9

18.5

8.5

0.0

Mizzou Probable Starters
Player Class Height PPG RPG APG

Dru Smith

JR

6-3

8.5

2.5

4.0

Mark Smith

JR

6-5

9.5

5.0

0.5

Javon Pickett

SO

6-5

6.0

6.0

1.5

Jeremiah Tilmon

JR

6-10

14.5

6.0

0.5

Kobe Brown

FR

6-7

9.5

4.0

0.0

Mark Smith hit four three-pointers in the win over Northern Kentucky.
Mark Smith hit four three-pointers in the win over Northern Kentucky. (Jessi Dodge)

                                                  BY THE NUMBERS

Statistical Matchup
Mizzou Category Xavier

76.5

PPG

78.5

49.0

PPG Allowed

60.0

44.9

Field Goal %

45.5

26.0

Three-Point %

23.8

+10.5

Rebound Margin

+7.5

13.0

Turnovers

11.0

68

Offensive Efficiency Rank

16

20

Defensive Efficiency Rank

40

282

Tempo

241

302

Strength of Schedule

290

                                        MIZZOU KEYS TO THE GAME

1. Handle the spotlight. Missouri's first two games have been home-court tuneups. Now, the Tigers go on the road against a veteran team with high expectations. The Tigers have plenty of experienced players, but for a handful, this will be their first time in a game like this (and for Dru Smith, at least his first time in a while). The Tigers simply need to make sure they don't play themselves into a huge hole in the first ten minutes.

2. Play through Tilmon while protecting him. This may be a key to every single game. Northern Kentucky did a nice job of limiting Tilmon's touches. Once he was more active, Missouri stretched the lead. But the first two teams haven't had anyone that can really test Missouri's big man on the defensive end. He's going to have to play on both ends of the court in this one. And that means, the Tigers have to make sure he's not sitting on the bench next to Cuonzo Martin with foul trouble. Finding the sweet spot between aggressive and too aggressive has been a process for Tilmon. Tonight, we get a look at if he's managed to find it.

3. Use your athleticism. Neither of these teams is notorious for playing quickly. But the Tigers have more athletes than they did a year ago. Even the big men are capable of getting out and running. Missouri needs to pick its spots to push the pace and use that athleticism. Play quick, but not fast, as the old saying goes. Don't be afraid to run, but do so under control. The teams have similar size and Xavier is talented and experienced so it's unlikely the Tigers can just sit in a halfcourt game on both ends and hope to dominate. They'll need to find their spots for some easy buckets.

                                     POWERMIZZOU PREDICTION

This is a stiff test early. Missouri isn't completely green, but this is the first road game for all of these players together and it isn't an easy one. There will likely be some jitters and if the shots aren't falling early, Mizzou could find itself in some trouble. We see a game where Xavier gets up early, Mizzou hangs around, but can't quite get over the hump. FINAL SCORE: Xavier 64, Missouri 59.

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