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Published Apr 20, 2016
Spring Game Perspective
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Pete Scantlebury  •  PowerMizzou
Staff

Missouri hosted its annual Black-and-Gold game on Saturday. The offense won, 21-0. But what does it all mean? PowerMizzou.com attempts to put the numbers from Saturday into perspective.

Passing improvement

After a slow start, quarterback Drew Lock got going, finishing the day with 9-of-13 completions for 134 yards and two touchdowns. That included a beautifully thrown deep ball to J'Mon Moore, who beat John Gibson in coverage badly, and strolled into the end zone for a 64-yard score.

Those numbers are, to put it frankly, quite good and quite efficient. Last year, in his eight starts, Lock completed over 50-percent of his passes twice -- against South Carolina (75-percent) and BYU (68-percent). His yards per attempt (just over 10) was higher than any of his starts; he only went over five yards per attempt twice in that span.

Yes, it was a spring game. Yes, both the offense and defense were diluted and vanilla. But Lock looked confident and in control, something he lacked after the South Carolina game a year ago.

Here is how Lock's day compares to the recent spring game performances of Missouri's next-season starters over the last ten years.

Starting QBs and the spring game
*James Franklin was out because of shoulder surgery in the 2012 spring game.
YearNameStatsRating

2016

Drew Lock

9-13, 134, 2 TDs

206.58

2015

Maty Mauk

9-14, 68, 1 TD

128.66

2014

Maty Mauk

11-15, 129

145.57

2013

James Franklin

9-15, 80

104.80

2012

Corbin Berkstresser*

13-20, 187, 1 TD, 1 INT

150.04

2011

James Franklin

13-21, 116, 2 TD

139.75

2010

Blaine Gabbert

8-15, 82

99.25

2009

Blaine Gabbert

9-17, 93

98.89

2008

Chase Daniel

22-28, 195, 2 TD, 1 INT

157.50

2007

Chase Daniel

8-11, 95, 1 TD

175.27

2006

Chase Daniel

11-12, 120, 2 TD

230.67

As the data shows, Drew Lock had the most efficient spring game at Missouri since Chase Daniel in 2006. There are some similarities between the two. Like Daniel, Lock was supposed to see limited action as a freshman. However, Lock was forced into the starting role because of discipline issues with Maty Mauk.

Spring game success doesn't always mean season-long success. But, Missouri fans would probably take an 8-5 year in 2016, like the Tigers posted after Daniel's 2006 spring game performance.

The passing-game wasn't all Lock, either. After a particularly slow start, Marvin Zanders rebounded for an 8-for-13, 83-yard passing day, including a beautifully thrown 19-yard touchdown to Justin Smith. If you combined Lock and Zanders' numbers, they went 17-for-26 (65-percent) for 217 yards and three touchdowns with no turnovers. That's a rating of 173.57. That would have been Missouri's most efficient passing day since Toledo in Sep. 2014.

Ground control

Let's take out the two botched snaps that netted negative-39 yards. Let's also take out the quarterback runs (which can be misleading in a no-contact scrimmage) and Ray Wingo's two-yard run from the receiver position.

How did Missouri's running backs do?

The group finished with 22 carries for 69 yards, led by Ish Witter's 43 yards on 13 carries. The group averaged Pi per carry -- 3.14 yards. So, not great.

(It should be noted that Witter still had a solid day, adding 33 yards on three receptions. He finished with 4.75 yards per touch.)

The sad thing is, Missouri actually had a higher yard-per-carry average in the spring game than in four of its games a year ago, a season in which they failed to break four yards a carry in eight games and never broke five. Again, that's a little apples-to-oranges comparison, as I'm not excluding quarterback runs and sacks into 2015's stats.

Here's how Missouri's spring rushing game compared to the last few Black and Gold games.

Running back performance in spring game
*MUTigers.com only lists the top two spring game running backs for the 2014 and 2013 games.
YearStatsYPCSeason YPC

2016

22-69

3.14

???

2015

24-89

3.71

3.49

2014*

19-68

3.58

4.62

2013*

15-41

2.73

5.66

2012

24-181

7.54

3.67

2011

24-93

3.88

5.38

Obviously, a sluggish spring game running attack is no stranger to Missouri. In the last six years, they've only made it over the four yard per carry mark once. In that year, 2012, the number was boosted by two long runs by Kendial Lawrence and Marcus Murphy. In fact, in the worst recent spring game rushing performance (2013), the Tigers had their best rushing year under Gary Pinkel the ensuing year.

So, paraphrasing a Game of Thrones quote -- We know nothing.

Defensive concern?

Oh, man. It's almost completely futile to break down Missouri's defensive performance on Saturday. That group was certainly not bad at all, but the game plan was so vanilla, Missouri didn't even blitz. They kept three linebackers on the field at all times. I don't believe there were any twists or stunts on the defensive line.

The end result was just two sacks for the defensive line -- one of which coming by way of a player (Rocel McWilliams) who has since left the program.

Here's how Missouri has done in the sack department in recent spring games, followed by their ensuing season's success.

Spring game sacks
*Full stats not available for 2014 on MUTigers.com
YearSacksSeason sacksConference rank

2016

2

???

???

2015

4

27

8

2014

2*

42

1

2013

3

41

1

2012

3

21

12

2011

3

27

5

(Enter 'Shrug' emoji here.)

Rebounding for 2016

Last (probably meaningless) statistical comparison. The last time Missouri was coming off a 5-7 year was following the 2012 season. You all probably remember it. So how do the offensive numbers from the 2013 spring game compare to that of the most recent iteration?

Answer below.

2013 Spring Game vs. 2016 Spring Game
The two botched snaps (for negative 39 yards) were not factored into 2016 stats.
YearPassingRushingTotalYards Per PlayTDs/TOs

2016

19-36, 223 yards, 3 TDs

30 carries, 88 yards

68 plays, 311 yards

4.57 yards per play

3 TDs/ 0 TOs

2013

31-61, 300 yards, 4 INTs

39 carries, 157 yards, 3 TDs

100 plays, 457 yards

4.57 yards per play

3 TDs/ 4 TOs

Those similarities are interesting, to say the least.

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