Prior to each Mizzou hoops game this season, we will get Tiger fans set with The Starting Five. In this feature, we'll give you the anticipated starting lineups for each team, break down keys to a Missouri win and offer up a prediction.
Here is the breakdown of today's Senior Day game against Mississippi.
OFF THE BENCH: Due to Saturday's Senior Day festivities, it's possible Cuonzo Martin starts walk-on forward Adam Wolf in place of Javon Pickett, but even if that's the case, Wolf will only play until the first jump ball. In reality, the first player off the bench will almost certainly be freshman Torrence Watson, who has been on fire of late. Watson has looked like a more confident player of late, averaging 13 points per game across the past three contests and shooting 12-for-26 from three-point range during that span. Former walk-on Ronnie Suggs will also likely see some playing time in the backcourt.
In the frontcourt, Reed Nikko has been Missouri's most valuable bench player. Nikko has posted an identical stat line of eight points and four rebounds in each of the past two games. He will likely play the five position whenever Jeremiah Tilmon heads to the bench. Sophomore Mitchell Smith started for the first time in his career Wednesday against Georgia, and even though he didn't score, he played well, grabbing a team-high 11 rebounds. He will likely rotate with Kevin Puryear at power forward. K.J. Santos could see some playing time as well, though he didn't play at Georgia.
OFF THE BENCH: Freshman forward K.J. Buffen hurt Missouri during the two teams' matchup in Oxford. Buffen scored 14 points in 32 minutes off the bench. On the season, he's averaging 6.1 points and 4.3 rebounds in just over 20 minutes per game. Bruce Stevens will also see action in the frontcourt. The 6-foot-8 sophomore has started six games this season and is averaging 8.3 points and 4.5 rebounds on the year. Sophomore D.C. Davis is the only reserve who sees much action in the backcourt. Davis averages 2.3 points in 12.7 minutes per game.
TIP TIME INFORMATION
TIPOFF: 2:30 p.m.
LOCATION: Mizzou Arena
TELEVISION: SEC Network/WatchESPN
RADIO: The game will be broadcast on the Tiger Radio Network. For a list of affiliates, click here.
KEYS TO THE GAME
1. Limit the turnovers.
Turnovers were the story of Missouri's loss at Ole Miss earlier this season. The Tigers gave the ball away a whopping 25 times, which tied a season high. Taking care of the basketball has been a struggle for Missouri all season. Its record is 3-10 in games in which it has turned the ball over 14 or more times this season and 11-5 in all other games. Ole Miss will no doubt try to use its athletic backcourt to put pressure on Missouri's guards once again. Now that the Tigers have seen it before, perhaps they can handle it better Saturday.
2. Crash the boards.
There has been a striking commonality between Missouri's last two games, both of which the Tigers have won: Missouri has dominated the glass. The Tigers out-rebounded South Carolina 39 to 27 and held the Gamecocks' leading rebounder, Chris Silva, without a board. Missouri out-rebounded Georgia by an insane 50-28 margin. The Tigers should have a rebounding advantage over Ole Miss. Missouri is ranked No. 43 nationally in rebounding rate, while Ole Miss ranks No. 89. In the meeting in Oxford, Missouri won the rebounding battle 37 to 21. Even if the Rebel guards get hot, Missouri should be able to keep the game close by ending Ole Miss' possessions after one shot and using the offensive glass to create second-chance opportunities.
3. Keep playing with confidence.
The past two games represent Missouri's first winning streak of 2019. The Tigers need to parlay that momentum into a win Saturday and a couple more victories in the SEC tournament to have a shot at reaching the NIT. After the win over South Carolina, Martin said several players played more freely than in the previous four games, all of which were losses. Missouri certainly appeared tight in Oxford, which contributed to the 25 turnovers. The team's best bet is to play free, ride the hot hands of Watson and Jordan Geist and hope it can pull out a close one against an Ole Miss team that has lost three close games in a row.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Currently a No. 10 seed in ESPN analyst Joe Lundardi's latest NCAA Tournament projections, expect Ole Miss to enter Saturday's game with plenty of intensity. The usual keys — taking care of the basketball, keeping Tilmon on the floor, shooting a decent percentage from three-point range — will apply, but the biggest challenge for Missouri may be putting the emotions of Senior Day behind it and matching the Rebels early. The Tigers likely don't have the offensive weaponry to climb out of an early hole against an Ole Miss team that averages 76.1 points per game.
Prediction: This has become a safe guess at this point: Missouri falls behind early, battles back to make the game interesting, but lets it slip away with an offensive drought late in the second half. Ole Miss wins 75-71.
Player of the game: Jordan Geist scores 19 points and dishes five assists in his final game in Mizzou Arena.